Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 16.389888 19.109003 22.067957 25.517894 29.420198 33.687519 38.697036
2025-02-23 11.584006 15.249633 19.652435 25.284444 32.246964 40.518531 51.029647
2025-03-02 8.790611 12.776968 17.959315 25.085557 34.510079 46.414749 62.435592
2025-03-09 6.936333 10.987331 16.622791 24.855502 36.361898 51.630331 73.129903
2025-03-16 5.238388 9.017525 14.625768 23.295751 36.043777 53.729151 79.656032
2025-03-23 4.542922 8.380183 14.384945 24.101512 38.975306 60.340585 92.653409
2025-03-30 4.050497 7.959095 14.375883 25.189918 42.339590 67.729816 107.172411
2025-04-06 3.343382 7.032825 13.407630 24.619965 43.066042 71.235929 116.205032
2025-04-13 2.670119 6.029563 12.147852 23.385506 42.564763 72.767082 122.285486
2025-04-20 2.467221 5.880663 12.348743 24.617819 46.130285 80.772097 138.675352
2025-04-27 2.331722 5.840162 12.732358 26.190417 50.362294 90.063463 157.558102
2025-05-04 2.076654 5.498726 12.496171 26.602281 52.611160 96.252323 171.809857
2025-05-11 1.784851 5.041877 12.016284 26.594998 54.280500 101.856754 185.909316
2025-05-18 1.504715 4.554863 11.412491 26.299346 55.443843 106.764003 199.310535
2025-05-25 1.275934 4.137320 10.886100 26.083625 56.717761 111.926550 213.433083
2025-06-01 1.082416 3.760546 10.384025 25.843881 57.899949 116.971622 227.605368
2025-06-08 0.841464 3.180867 9.307418 24.230534 56.219335 116.716504 232.469077
2025-06-15 0.767165 3.071874 9.344733 25.063801 59.503972 125.750061 254.273734
2025-06-22 0.714090 3.015651 9.504794 26.189221 63.470673 136.276314 279.281295
2025-06-29 0.595695 2.708182 8.958935 25.599906 63.779792 139.862008 291.773217
2025-07-06 0.472569 2.339026 8.173179 24.323291 62.479086 140.223328 298.262529
2025-07-13 0.448799 2.332698 8.407757 25.597687 66.878802 152.033085 326.854503
2025-07-20 0.436103 2.367024 8.766415 27.223548 72.179534 165.904780 359.964681